Buchbach vs Schwaben Augsburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)SMR-Arena, Buchbach
The Footlab model makes Buchbach the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Schwaben Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buchbach vs Schwaben Augsburg?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Buchbach (1,861) and Schwaben Augsburg (1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Schwaben Augsburg have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aubstadt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Buchbach win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Schwaben Augsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg 1-1 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg 2-2 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Buchbach 1-0 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Buchbach 1-1 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Schwaben Augsburg 0-2 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Schwaben Augsburg vs Buchbach on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Schwaben Augsburg score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchbach | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Schwaben Augsburg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buchbach sit 1st in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Schwaben Augsburg sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 13 | Schwaben Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buchbach vs Schwaben Augsburg?
- The Footlab model makes Buchbach the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Schwaben Augsburg.
- Where and when is Buchbach vs Schwaben Augsburg played?
- Buchbach vs Schwaben Augsburg is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.