Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 33Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Bucheon Stadium, Bucheon
The Footlab model makes Bucheon FC 1995 the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Gwangju FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC?
Bucheon FC 1995 starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucheon FC 1995 have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Gwangju FC have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Seoul(away) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 3-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(home) | 3-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gwangju FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Gangwon FC(away) | 2-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Incheon United(home) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bucheon FC 1995 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gwangju FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995 0-0 Gwangju FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gwangju FC 0-1 Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 1 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Bucheon FC 1995 1-2 Gwangju FC | FA Cup |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Gwangju FC 2-0 Bucheon FC 1995 | FA Cup |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Bucheon FC 1995 2-3 Gwangju FC | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Bucheon FC 1995 2-1 Gwangju FC | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bucheon FC 1995 score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gwangju FC score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Gwangju FC | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bucheon FC 1995 sit 10th in K League 1 (30 points from 25 matches) and Gwangju FC sit 12th (12 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 28 | 30 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 25 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 52 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC?
- The Footlab model makes Bucheon FC 1995 the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Gwangju FC.
- Where and when is Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC played?
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC is played on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Bucheon Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.