FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 33Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
The Footlab model makes FC Seoul the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Gangwon FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate FC Seoul (1,861) and Gangwon FC (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Seoul have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Gangwon FC have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 7-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(home) | 4-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Gwangju FC(home) | 2-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(away) | 3-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Seoul win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gangwon FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | FC Seoul 0-0 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gangwon FC 1-2 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | FC Seoul 4-2 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Gangwon FC 3-2 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| Jun 17, 2025 | FC Seoul 1-1 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Gangwon FC 0-1 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Seoul score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gangwon FC score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Gangwon FC | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Seoul sit 1st in K League 1 (53 points from 25 matches) and Gangwon FC sit 4th (36 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC?
- The Footlab model makes FC Seoul the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Gangwon FC.
- Where and when is FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC played?
- FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC is played on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Seoul World Cup Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.