Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 33Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
The Footlab model makes Ulsan Hyundai FC the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Pohang Steelers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Ulsan Hyundai FC (1,747) and Pohang Steelers (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulsan Hyundai FC have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pohang Steelers have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 2-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 0-2 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ulsan Hyundai FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Pohang Steelers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pohang Steelers 0-2 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 0-1 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Pohang Steelers 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| May 5, 2025 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 1-1 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Pohang Steelers 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Pohang Steelers 3-1 Ulsan Hyundai FC | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan Hyundai FC on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulsan Hyundai FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pohang Steelers score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Pohang Steelers | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulsan Hyundai FC sit 3rd in K League 1 (37 points from 25 matches) and Pohang Steelers sit 6th (34 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 37 |
| 6 | Pohang Steelers | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers?
- The Footlab model makes Ulsan Hyundai FC the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Pohang Steelers.
- Where and when is Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers played?
- Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers is played on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.