Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 33Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
The Footlab model makes Daejeon Citizen the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Gimcheon Sangmu FC (1,756) and Daejeon Citizen (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimcheon Sangmu FC have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Daejeon Citizen have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Incheon United(away) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Seoul(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 3-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Seoul(away) | 2-4 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Daejeon Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3-2 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-3 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Daejeon Citizen 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-2 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Daejeon Citizen score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Daejeon Citizen | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 11th in K League 1 (27 points from 25 matches) and Daejeon Citizen sit 9th (32 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Daejeon Citizen | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 29 | 32 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 25 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Daejeon Citizen the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
- Where and when is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen played?
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen is played on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Gimcheon Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.