Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju United FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 29Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Bucheon Stadium, Bucheon
The Footlab model makes Bucheon FC 1995 the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Jeju United FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju United FC?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Bucheon FC 1995 (1,743) and Jeju United FC (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucheon FC 1995 have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Jeju United FC have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Seoul(away) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 3-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(home) | 3-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gwangju FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bucheon FC 1995 win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Jeju United FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995 0-1 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Jeju United FC 1-0 Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 1 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Bucheon FC 1995 1-0 Jeju United FC | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Bucheon FC 1995 0-2 Jeju United FC | K League 2 |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Jeju United FC 4-0 Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 2 |
| May 26, 2020 | Bucheon FC 1995 0-1 Jeju United FC | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju United FC on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bucheon FC 1995 score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Jeju United FC score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Jeju United FC | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bucheon FC 1995 sit 10th in K League 1 (30 points from 25 matches) and Jeju United FC sit 5th (35 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jeju United FC | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 35 |
| 10 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 28 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju United FC?
- The Footlab model makes Bucheon FC 1995 the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Jeju United FC.
- Where and when is Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju United FC played?
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju United FC is played on September 12, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Bucheon Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.