Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 29Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon
The Footlab model makes Daejeon Citizen the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Pohang Steelers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Daejeon Citizen (1,799) and Pohang Steelers (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Daejeon Citizen have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Pohang Steelers have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 3-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Seoul(away) | 2-4 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 0-2 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Daejeon Citizen win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Pohang Steelers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen 0-2 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Pohang Steelers 1-0 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Daejeon Citizen 2-0 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Pohang Steelers 1-3 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| May 27, 2025 | Daejeon Citizen 1-3 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Pohang Steelers 0-3 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Daejeon Citizen score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pohang Steelers score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Citizen | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Pohang Steelers | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Daejeon Citizen sit 9th in K League 1 (32 points from 25 matches) and Pohang Steelers sit 6th (34 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pohang Steelers | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 34 |
| 9 | Daejeon Citizen | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 29 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?
- The Footlab model makes Daejeon Citizen the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Pohang Steelers.
- Where and when is Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers played?
- Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Daejeon World Cup Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.