Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 29Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
The Footlab model makes Ulsan Hyundai FC the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Incheon United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Ulsan Hyundai FC (1,747) and Incheon United (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulsan Hyundai FC have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Incheon United have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 2-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | K League 1 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ulsan Hyundai FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Incheon United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 1-2 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Incheon United 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| May 14, 2025 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 3-0 Incheon United | FA Cup |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Incheon United 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 1-0 Incheon United | FA Cup |
| May 29, 2024 | Incheon United 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United on Jul 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulsan Hyundai FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Incheon United score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Incheon United | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulsan Hyundai FC sit 3rd in K League 1 (37 points from 25 matches) and Incheon United sit 8th (33 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 37 |
| 8 | Incheon United | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United?
- The Footlab model makes Ulsan Hyundai FC the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Incheon United.
- Where and when is Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United played?
- Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United is played on September 12, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.