Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 29Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
The Footlab model makes Gangwon FC the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Gimcheon Sangmu FC (1,755) and Gangwon FC (1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimcheon Sangmu FC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Gangwon FC have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Incheon United(away) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Seoul(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(away) | 3-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gangwon FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Gangwon FC 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-3 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-1 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Gangwon FC 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| May 11, 2025 | Gangwon FC 0-4 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-0 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gangwon FC score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Gangwon FC | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 11th in K League 1 (26 points from 24 matches) and Gangwon FC sit 4th (35 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 35 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 24 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC?
- The Footlab model makes Gangwon FC the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
- Where and when is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC played?
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC is played on September 13, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Gimcheon Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.