Buchholz vs Sasel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 18Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Otto-Koch-Kampfbahn, Buchholz in der Nordheide
The Footlab AI model makes Buchholz the favourite at 41%, against 20% for a draw and 39% for Sasel. The most likely score is 2-2. If Buchholz wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buchholz vs Sasel?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Buchholz (1,776) and Sasel (1,770).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buchholz vs Sasel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buchholz
Not enough data to predict the Buchholz lineup.
Sasel
Not enough data to predict the Sasel lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchholz have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sasel have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 3-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 5-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | HT16(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Buchholz wins, 0 draws, 2 Sasel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sasel 0-4 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Sasel 1-5 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Buchholz 7-2 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 11, 2025 | Buchholz 2-1 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Sasel 3-2 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Sasel 4-1 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sasel score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Sasel | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buchholz sit 12th in Oberliga - Hamburg (44 points from 34 matches) and Sasel sit 10th (50 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
A question about Buchholz vs Sasel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buchholz vs Sasel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buchholz the favourite at 41%, against 20% for a draw and 39% for Sasel.
- Where and when is Buchholz vs Sasel played?
- Buchholz vs Sasel is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Otto-Koch-Kampfbahn, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.