Niendorfer TSV vs HEBC: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 18Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Sachsenweg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Niendorfer TSV the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for HEBC. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Niendorfer TSV vs HEBC?
Niendorfer TSV starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niendorfer TSV have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; HEBC have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HT16(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Niendorfer TSV win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 HEBC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | HEBC 0-3 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV 0-0 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 28, 2025 | HEBC 0-2 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Niendorfer TSV 2-0 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 1, 2024 | HEBC 0-1 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Niendorfer TSV 1-2 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: HEBC vs Niendorfer TSV on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Niendorfer TSV score 2.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; HEBC score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niendorfer TSV | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| HEBC | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Niendorfer TSV sit 9th in Oberliga - Hamburg (50 points from 34 matches) and HEBC sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Niendorfer TSV | 34 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 75 | 57 | 50 |
| 13 | HEBC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 66 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Niendorfer TSV vs HEBC?
- The Footlab model makes Niendorfer TSV the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for HEBC.
- Where and when is Niendorfer TSV vs HEBC played?
- Niendorfer TSV vs HEBC is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Sachsenweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.