Match

Buckie Thistle vs Keith: prediction and stats

Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 26Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Park, Buckie

Buckie ThistleKeith

The Footlab AI model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Keith. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Buckie Thistle vs Keith?

On Elo ratings, Buckie Thistle has 1,499 points and Keith 1,437.

54%21%25%
Buckie Thistle winDrawKeith win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Buckie Thistle vs Keith

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Buckie Thistle

4-3-3
  1. 11F. Allen
  2. 9J. Peters
  3. 10L. Keir
  1. 23A. Morgan-Cummings
  2. 17R. Paterson
  3. 22H. Noble
  1. 3D. McHardy
  2. 16R. Fyffe
  3. 4S. Morrison
  4. 16R. Fyffe
  1. 12T. Simpson

Keith

Not enough data to predict the Keith lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buckie Thistle have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Keith have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Buckie Thistle
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Clachnacuddin(away)0-3Football League - Highland League
Oct 7, 2026Lossiemouth(home)2-4Football League - Highland League
Oct 3, 2026Brechin(away)2-2FA Cup
Sep 19, 2026Nairn County(home)1-3Football League - Highland League
Sep 16, 2026Forres Mechanics(away)1-2Football League - Highland League
Keith
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Huntly(away)0-2Football League - Highland League
Oct 7, 2026Turriff United(home)1-0Football League - Highland League
Oct 3, 2026Stonehaven(home)2-1FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Brora Rangers(away)0-5Football League - Highland League
Sep 19, 2026Strathspey Thistle(home)2-3Football League - Highland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Buckie Thistle wins, 0 draws, 2 Keith wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026Keith 3-2 Buckie ThistleFootball League - Highland League
Dec 20, 2025Buckie Thistle 5-0 KeithFootball League - Highland League
Aug 9, 2025Keith 0-2 Buckie ThistleFootball League - Highland League
Apr 12, 2025Buckie Thistle 3-0 KeithFootball League - Highland League
Nov 16, 2024Keith 3-1 Buckie ThistleFootball League - Highland League
Apr 20, 2024Buckie Thistle 1-0 KeithFootball League - Highland League

Last archived meeting: Keith vs Buckie Thistle on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Buckie Thistle score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Keith score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Buckie Thistle2.51.758/1513/15
Keith1.42.1210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Buckie Thistle sit 8th in Football League - Highland League (53 points from 34 matches) and Keith sit 6th (58 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Keith3417710524758
8Buckie Thistle3416513624753

A question about Buckie Thistle vs Keith?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Buckie Thistle vs Keith?
The Footlab AI model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Keith.
Where and when is Buckie Thistle vs Keith played?
Buckie Thistle vs Keith is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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