Buckie Thistle vs Lossiemouth: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 13Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Park, Buckie
The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Lossiemouth. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buckie Thistle vs Lossiemouth?
Buckie Thistle is a heavy favourite: 1,626 Elo points against 1,246, a 380-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buckie Thistle have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Lossiemouth have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 6-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 7-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nairn County(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Keith(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rothes(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Buckie Thistle win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lossiemouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Lossiemouth 1-1 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Buckie Thistle 2-1 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Lossiemouth 1-3 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Buckie Thistle 2-1 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Lossiemouth 2-1 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Buckie Thistle 3-0 Lossiemouth | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Lossiemouth vs Buckie Thistle on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Buckie Thistle score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lossiemouth score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckie Thistle | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Lossiemouth | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buckie Thistle sit 8th in Football League - Highland League (53 points from 34 matches) and Lossiemouth sit 17th (17 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Buckie Thistle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 62 | 47 | 53 |
| 17 | Lossiemouth | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 76 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buckie Thistle vs Lossiemouth?
- The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Lossiemouth.
- Where and when is Buckie Thistle vs Lossiemouth played?
- Buckie Thistle vs Lossiemouth is played on October 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 7, 2026Banks O' DeevsFraserburgh
- Oct 7, 2026Formartine UnitedvsDeveronvale
- Oct 7, 2026Forres MechanicsvsBrora Rangers
- Oct 7, 2026Inverurie Loco WorksvsInvergordon
- Oct 7, 2026KeithvsTurriff United
- Oct 7, 2026Nairn CountyvsStrathspey Thistle
- Oct 7, 2026RothesvsHuntly
- Oct 7, 2026Wick AcademyvsClachnacuddin