Nairn County vs Strathspey Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 13Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Nairn
The Footlab model makes Nairn County the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Strathspey Thistle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nairn County vs Strathspey Thistle?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Nairn County (1,437) and Strathspey Thistle (1,352).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nairn County have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Strathspey Thistle have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-6 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nairn County win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Strathspey Thistle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Nairn County 2-1 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Strathspey Thistle 3-4 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Strathspey Thistle 1-1 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Nairn County 3-3 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Strathspey Thistle 0-4 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Nairn County 4-1 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Nairn County vs Strathspey Thistle on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nairn County score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Strathspey Thistle score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairn County | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Strathspey Thistle | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nairn County sit 9th in Football League - Highland League (49 points from 34 matches) and Strathspey Thistle sit 12th (41 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nairn County | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 52 | 49 |
| 12 | Strathspey Thistle | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 83 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nairn County vs Strathspey Thistle?
- The Footlab model makes Nairn County the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Strathspey Thistle.
- Where and when is Nairn County vs Strathspey Thistle played?
- Nairn County vs Strathspey Thistle is played on October 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.