Keith vs Turriff United: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 13Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith
The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Turriff United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keith vs Turriff United?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Keith (1,476) and Turriff United (1,513).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Turriff United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wick Academy(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Keith win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Turriff United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Turriff United 1-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Keith 0-0 Turriff United | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Turriff United 1-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Keith 0-1 Turriff United | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Keith 1-0 Turriff United | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Turriff United 1-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Turriff United vs Keith on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Turriff United score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Turriff United | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keith sit 6th in Football League - Highland League (58 points from 34 matches) and Turriff United sit 10th (48 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
| 10 | Turriff United | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 60 | 50 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keith vs Turriff United?
- The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Turriff United.
- Where and when is Keith vs Turriff United played?
- Keith vs Turriff United is played on October 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 7, 2026Banks O' DeevsFraserburgh
- Oct 7, 2026Formartine UnitedvsDeveronvale
- Oct 7, 2026Buckie ThistlevsLossiemouth
- Oct 7, 2026Forres MechanicsvsBrora Rangers
- Oct 7, 2026Inverurie Loco WorksvsInvergordon
- Oct 7, 2026Nairn CountyvsStrathspey Thistle
- Oct 7, 2026RothesvsHuntly
- Oct 7, 2026Wick AcademyvsClachnacuddin