Inverurie Loco Works vs Buckie Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Harlaw Park, Inverurie
The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Inverurie Loco Works. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inverurie Loco Works vs Buckie Thistle?
Buckie Thistle starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,626 vs 1,488).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inverurie Loco Works have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Buckie Thistle have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 0-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 3-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 6-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 7-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Inverurie Loco Works win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Buckie Thistle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Buckie Thistle 2-0 Inverurie Loco Works | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Buckie Thistle 2-1 Inverurie Loco Works | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Inverurie Loco Works 2-3 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Buckie Thistle 2-2 Inverurie Loco Works | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Inverurie Loco Works 2-1 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Buckie Thistle 1-1 Inverurie Loco Works | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Buckie Thistle vs Inverurie Loco Works on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inverurie Loco Works score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Buckie Thistle score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverurie Loco Works | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Buckie Thistle | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inverurie Loco Works sit 15th in Football League - Highland League (33 points from 34 matches) and Buckie Thistle sit 8th (53 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Buckie Thistle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 62 | 47 | 53 |
| 15 | Inverurie Loco Works | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 47 | 66 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inverurie Loco Works vs Buckie Thistle?
- The Footlab model makes Buckie Thistle the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Inverurie Loco Works.
- Where and when is Inverurie Loco Works vs Buckie Thistle played?
- Inverurie Loco Works vs Buckie Thistle is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Harlaw Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Formartine UnitedvsStrathspey Thistle
- Nov 21, 2026DeveronvalevsBrora Rangers
- Nov 21, 2026KeithvsForres Mechanics
- Nov 21, 2026RothesvsNairn County
- Nov 21, 2026Turriff UnitedvsClachnacuddin
- Nov 21, 2026Wick AcademyvsBanks O' Dee
- Nov 21, 2026HuntlyvsLossiemouth
- Nov 21, 2026InvergordonvsFraserburgh