Buckley Town vs Mold Alexandra: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 19Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Globe Way Stadium, Buckley / Bwcle, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Buckley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buckley Town vs Mold Alexandra?
Mold Alexandra starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,627 vs 1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buckley Town have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Mold Alexandra have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buckley Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mold Alexandra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mold Alexandra 1-0 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Buckley Town 2-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 1-2 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 3-1 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Buckley Town 1-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 1-2 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buckley Town score 0.8 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckley Town | 0.8 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buckley Town sit 14th in FAW Championship (1 points from 4 matches) and Mold Alexandra sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | Buckley Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buckley Town vs Mold Alexandra?
- The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Buckley Town.
- Where and when is Buckley Town vs Mold Alexandra played?
- Buckley Town vs Mold Alexandra is played on December 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Globe Way Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.