Newtown AFC vs Caersws: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 19Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Caersws. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newtown AFC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Caersws?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Newtown AFC (1,736) and Caersws (1,680).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newtown AFC vs Caersws
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newtown AFC
Not enough data to predict the Newtown AFC lineup.
Caersws
Not enough data to predict the Caersws lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newtown AFC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Caersws have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Newtown AFC wins, 0 draws, 1 Caersws win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | Caersws 1-0 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Newtown AFC 2-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Feb 10, 2015 | Caersws 2-3 Newtown AFC | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Caersws vs Newtown AFC on Jan 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newtown AFC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caersws score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Caersws | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newtown AFC sit 2nd in FAW Championship (23 points from 10 matches) and Caersws sit 6th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
A question about Newtown AFC vs Caersws?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newtown AFC vs Caersws?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Caersws.
- Where and when is Newtown AFC vs Caersws played?
- Newtown AFC vs Caersws is played on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at G.F. Grigg Latham Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.