Porthmadog vs Holyhead Hotspur: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 19Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Traeth Stadium, Porthmadog, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Holyhead Hotspur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Porthmadog wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porthmadog vs Holyhead Hotspur?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Porthmadog (1,048) and Holyhead Hotspur (1,081).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Porthmadog vs Holyhead Hotspur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Porthmadog
4-3-3- CCai Llywelyn Jones
- SS. Cavanagh
- II. Price
- DDaniel Paul Brookwell
- CC. Evans
- GGruffydd Ellis
- JJosh Banks
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- NNathan Williams
- II. Havelock
- AA. Ward-Jones
Holyhead Hotspur
Not enough data to predict the Holyhead Hotspur lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porthmadog have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Holyhead Hotspur have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Blaen-y-Maes(home) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-3 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Porthmadog win, 2 draws, 0 Holyhead Hotspur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur 2-2 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Jan 20, 2023 | Holyhead Hotspur 1-2 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Porthmadog 1-1 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Holyhead Hotspur vs Porthmadog on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Porthmadog score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Holyhead Hotspur score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porthmadog | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Porthmadog sit 3rd in FAW Championship (27 points from 14 matches) and Holyhead Hotspur sit 12th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Porthmadog | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 27 |
| 12 | Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 15 |
A question about Porthmadog vs Holyhead Hotspur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porthmadog vs Holyhead Hotspur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Holyhead Hotspur.
- Where and when is Porthmadog vs Holyhead Hotspur played?
- Porthmadog vs Holyhead Hotspur is played on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at The Traeth Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.