Budafoki LC vs MTK Budapest II: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 16Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Promontor utcai stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Budafoki LC the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for MTK Budapest II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Budafoki LC vs MTK Budapest II?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Budafoki LC (1,582) and MTK Budapest II (1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budafoki LC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; MTK Budapest II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 2-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 17, 2026 | Fehérvár FC(away) | 3-1 | NB II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Budaörs(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 8-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Budafoki LC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 MTK Budapest II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | MTK Budapest II 4-2 Budafoki LC | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest II vs Budafoki LC on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Budafoki LC score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest II score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budafoki LC | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| MTK Budapest II | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Budafoki LC sit 5th in NB III - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and MTK Budapest II sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Budafoki LC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Budafoki LC vs MTK Budapest II?
- The Footlab model makes Budafoki LC the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for MTK Budapest II.
- Where and when is Budafoki LC vs MTK Budapest II played?
- Budafoki LC vs MTK Budapest II is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Promontor utcai stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.