Budaörs vs Érdi VSE: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 16Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Árok utcai pálya, Budaörs
The Footlab model makes Budaörs the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Érdi VSE. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Budaörs vs Érdi VSE?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Budaörs (1,486) and Érdi VSE (1,496).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budaörs have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Érdi VSE have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaposvar(away) | 0-7 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Bicskei(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 0-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paksi SE II(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Budaörs win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Érdi VSE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Érdi VSE 3-3 Budaörs | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Érdi VSE 1-0 Budaörs | NB III - Northwest |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Budaörs 1-0 Érdi VSE | NB III - Northwest |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Budaörs 3-0 Érdi VSE | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Érdi VSE 1-2 Budaörs | NB III - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Budaörs score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Érdi VSE score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budaörs | 2.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Érdi VSE | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Budaörs sit 6th in NB III - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Érdi VSE sit 9th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Budaörs | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 9 | Érdi VSE | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Budaörs vs Érdi VSE?
- The Footlab model makes Budaörs the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Érdi VSE.
- Where and when is Budaörs vs Érdi VSE played?
- Budaörs vs Érdi VSE is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Árok utcai pálya, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.