MTK Budapest II vs Ferencváros II: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 25Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sándor Károly Labdarúgó Akadémia, Budapest
The Footlab model makes MTK Budapest II the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Ferencváros II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTK Budapest II vs Ferencváros II?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate MTK Budapest II (1,509) and Ferencváros II (1,571).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ferencváros II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Budaörs(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 8-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paksi SE II(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Dunaujvaros FC(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 17, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(home) | 3-4 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 MTK Budapest II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ferencváros II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | MTK Budapest II 4-0 Ferencváros II | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Ferencváros II 5-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| May 25, 2025 | Ferencváros II 2-2 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Nov 10, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 1-1 Ferencváros II | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 10, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 1-0 Ferencváros II | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Ferencváros II 2-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest II vs Ferencváros II on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
MTK Budapest II score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ferencváros II score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest II | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ferencváros II | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTK Budapest II sit 7th in NB III - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Ferencváros II sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ferencváros II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest II vs Ferencváros II?
- The Footlab model makes MTK Budapest II the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Ferencváros II.
- Where and when is MTK Budapest II vs Ferencváros II played?
- MTK Budapest II vs Ferencváros II is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sándor Károly Labdarúgó Akadémia, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.