Sárbogárd vs Iváncsa: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 25Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sárbogárd Sportpálya, Sárbogárd
The Footlab model makes Iváncsa the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Sárbogárd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sárbogárd vs Iváncsa?
Iváncsa starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,310).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Sárbogárd have 3 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Iváncsa have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(home) | 0-6 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paksi SE II(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Budaörs(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Balatonlelle SE(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Sárbogárd score 1.1 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 14; Iváncsa score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sárbogárd | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0 | 8/14 | 12/14 |
| Iváncsa | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sárbogárd sit 15th in NB III - Southwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Iváncsa sit 8th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Iváncsa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 15 | Sárbogárd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sárbogárd vs Iváncsa?
- The Footlab model makes Iváncsa the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Sárbogárd.
- Where and when is Sárbogárd vs Iváncsa played?
- Sárbogárd vs Iváncsa is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sárbogárd Sportpálya, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.