Budaörs vs Pécsi MFC: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Árok utcai pálya, Budaörs
The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Budaörs. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Budaörs vs Pécsi MFC?
Pécsi MFC starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (1,705 vs 1,486).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budaörs have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pécsi MFC have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaposvar(away) | 0-7 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Bicskei(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 6-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Budaörs win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Pécsi MFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2022 | Budaörs 0-1 Pécsi MFC | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Pécsi MFC 1-1 Budaörs | NB II |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Budaörs 0-1 Pécsi MFC | NB II |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Pécsi MFC 0-1 Budaörs | NB II |
How many goals should we expect?
Budaörs score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pécsi MFC score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budaörs | 2.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Pécsi MFC | 2.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Budaörs sit 6th in NB III - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Pécsi MFC sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Budaörs | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Budaörs vs Pécsi MFC?
- The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Budaörs.
- Where and when is Budaörs vs Pécsi MFC played?
- Budaörs vs Pécsi MFC is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Árok utcai pálya, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.