MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sándor Károly Labdarúgó Akadémia, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes MTK Budapest II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Kaposvar. The most likely score is 1-1. If MTK Budapest II wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,797 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar?
On Elo ratings, MTK Budapest II has 1,515 points and Kaposvar 1,643.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MTK Budapest II
Not enough data to predict the MTK Budapest II lineup.
Kaposvar
Not enough data to predict the Kaposvar lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Kaposvar have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 2-5 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Érdi VSE(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 7-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MTK Budapest II win, 2 draws, 3 Kaposvar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | MTK Budapest II 1-0 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Kaposvar 3-2 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Kaposvar 3-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 1, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 2-3 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Kaposvar 1-1 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 8, 2023 | MTK Budapest II 2-2 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MTK Budapest II score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kaposvar score 2.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Kaposvar | 2.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTK Budapest II sit 7th in NB III - Southwest (15 points from 9 matches) and Kaposvar sit 2nd (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaposvar | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 15 |
A question about MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar?
- The Footlab AI model makes MTK Budapest II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Kaposvar.
- Where and when is MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar played?
- MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sándor Károly Labdarúgó Akadémia, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.