MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sándor Károly Labdarúgó Akadémia, Budapest
The Footlab model makes MTK Budapest II the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Kaposvar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar?
Kaposvar starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,670 vs 1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Kaposvar have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Budaörs(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 8-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 1-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 7-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Siofok(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Dombóvári(home) | 6-2 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MTK Budapest II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kaposvar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | MTK Budapest II 1-0 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Kaposvar 3-2 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Kaposvar 3-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 1, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 2-3 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Kaposvar 1-1 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 8, 2023 | MTK Budapest II 2-2 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MTK Budapest II score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kaposvar score 2.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest II | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Kaposvar | 2.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTK Budapest II sit 7th in NB III - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Kaposvar sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaposvar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar?
- The Footlab model makes MTK Budapest II the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Kaposvar.
- Where and when is MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar played?
- MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sándor Károly Labdarúgó Akadémia, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.