Bugesera vs Al Merreikh: result 1-0 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on November 27, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
Full time
What was the result of Bugesera vs Al Merreikh?
Bugesera won 1-0 on November 27, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Al Merreikh have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Rutsiro(home) | 2-3 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Gorilla(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Muhanga(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Gasogi United(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 0-4 | Sudani Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Alamal Atbara(away) | 1-0 | Sudani Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Merreikh score 0.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Merreikh | 0.7 | 0.8 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 9th in National Soccer League (44 points from 34 matches) and Al Merreikh sit 3rd (59 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41 | 24 | 59 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy