Bugesera vs Al Merreikh: result 1-0 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on November 27, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
Full time
What was the result of Bugesera vs Al Merreikh?
Bugesera won 1-0 on November 27, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Al Merreikh have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Rutsiro(home) | 2-3 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Gorilla(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Muhanga(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Gasogi United(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 0-4 | Sudani Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Alamal Atbara(away) | 1-0 | Sudani Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Merreikh score 0.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Merreikh | 0.7 | 0.8 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 13th in National Soccer League (3 points from 2 matches) and Al Merreikh sit 16th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Merreikh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about Bugesera vs Al Merreikh?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy