Bugesera vs APR: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
The Footlab AI model makes APR the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Bugesera. The most likely score is 1-1. If APR wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bugesera vs APR?
APR starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,865 vs 1,668).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bugesera vs APR
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bugesera
Not enough data to predict the Bugesera lineup.
APR
Not enough data to predict the APR lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; APR have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Rutsiro(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Marines(home) | 4-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | JSK(home) | 3-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | JSK(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri(away) | 3-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bugesera wins, 3 draws, 3 APR wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Bugesera 2-2 APR | National Soccer League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | APR 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Bugesera 0-1 APR | National Soccer League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | APR 2-0 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Bugesera 0-0 APR | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2023 | APR 1-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; APR score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| APR | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 10th in National Soccer League (3 points from 2 matches) and APR sit 8th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Bugesera vs APR?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bugesera vs APR?
- The Footlab AI model makes APR the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Bugesera.
- Where and when is Bugesera vs APR played?
- Bugesera vs APR is played on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bugesera Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.