Bugesera vs Etincelles: result 3-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on November 3, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
Full time
What was the result of Bugesera vs Etincelles?
Bugesera won 3-1 on November 3, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 50′?Etincelles (pen.)
- 60′?Bugesera (pen.)
- 79′?Bugesera
- 90′?Bugesera
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Etincelles have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | Musanze(away) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 25, 2021 | Marines(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 19, 2021 | AS Kigali(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Espoir(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 13, 2021 | Rutsiro(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | Rutsiro(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 28, 2021 | Musanze(home) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 25, 2021 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 22, 2021 | Muhanga(home) | 4-0 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 14, 2021 | Gasogi United(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Bugesera win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Etincelles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | Etincelles 1-3 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Bugesera 0-2 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Feb 22, 2019 | Etincelles 3-2 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Bugesera 1-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Etincelles vs Bugesera on Feb 15, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Etincelles score 1.4 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Etincelles | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 9th in National Soccer League (44 points from 34 matches) and Etincelles sit 13th (37 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy