Bugesera vs Gicumbi: result 2-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on November 29, 2018 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
Full time
What was the result of Bugesera vs Gicumbi?
Bugesera won 2-1 on November 29, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Gicumbi have 0, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2018 | Rayon Sports(away) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Sunrise(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2018 | Mukura(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Etincelles(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Marines(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2018 | Amagaju(home) | 2-3 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Rayon Sports(away) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 30, 2018 | Police(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Sunrise(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Espoir(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 0.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 5; Gicumbi score 0.4 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| Gicumbi | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 9th in National Soccer League (44 points from 34 matches) and Gicumbi sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 54 | 38 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy