Bugesera vs Gorilla: result 3-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueGroup StageKick-off on February 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
Full time
What was the result of Bugesera vs Gorilla?
Bugesera won 3-1 on February 14, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Gorilla have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | APR(home) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Etincelles(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | APR(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Police(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 19, 2025 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Rutsiro(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Musanze(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bugesera win, 4 draws, 1 Gorilla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | Gorilla 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| May 2, 2025 | Gorilla 0-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Bugesera 0-0 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Gorilla 1-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Bugesera 2-2 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Bugesera 0-0 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gorilla score 0.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gorilla | 0.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 13th in National Soccer League (3 points from 2 matches) and Gorilla sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gorilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Bugesera vs Gorilla?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy