Bugesera vs Gorilla: result 3-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueGroup StageKick-off on February 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
Full time
What was the result of Bugesera vs Gorilla?
Bugesera won 3-1 on February 14, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Gorilla have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | APR(home) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Etincelles(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | APR(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Police(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 19, 2025 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Rutsiro(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Musanze(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bugesera win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Gorilla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | Gorilla 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| May 2, 2025 | Gorilla 0-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Bugesera 0-0 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Gorilla 1-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Bugesera 2-2 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Bugesera 0-0 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gorilla score 0.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gorilla | 0.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 9th in National Soccer League (44 points from 34 matches) and Gorilla sit 11th (40 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy