Bugesera vs Police: result 1-0 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 26, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
Full time
What was the result of Bugesera vs Police?
Bugesera won 1-0 on December 26, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Police have 8, 7 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Rayon Sports(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Mukura(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Marines(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Etincelles(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Gasogi United(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | APR(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Musanze(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bugesera wins, 1 draw, 2 Police wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Bugesera 0-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Police 2-2 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Police 1-2 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Bugesera 4-2 Police | National Soccer League |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Bugesera 2-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| Oct 13, 2022 | Police 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Police score 1.1 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Police | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 13th in National Soccer League (3 points from 2 matches) and Police sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Police | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Bugesera vs Police?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy