Bugesera vs Police: result 3-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 11, 2020 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
Full time
What was the result of Bugesera vs Police?
Bugesera won 3-1 on March 11, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Police have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | Muhanga(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Marines(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Etincelles(away) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Rayon Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 17, 2020 | AS Kigali(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | AS Kigali(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 4, 2020 | APR(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Heroes(away) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Feb 7, 2020 | Gasogi United(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Gicumbi(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bugesera win, 0 draws, 2 Police wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | Police 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| May 11, 2019 | Bugesera 1-3 Police | National Soccer League |
| Dec 30, 2018 | Police 1-3 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Police score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Police | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 13th in National Soccer League (3 points from 2 matches) and Police sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Police | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Bugesera vs Police?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy