Bulgaria W vs Croatia W: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League - WomenGroup stageKick-off on February 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Bulgaria W the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Croatia W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bulgaria W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bulgaria W vs Croatia W?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Bulgaria W (1,371) and Croatia W (1,420).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bulgaria W vs Croatia W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bulgaria W
4-3-3- 8P. Rasina
- 14D. Ivanova
- 21Y. Aleksandrova
- 9L. Petrova
- 22I. Naydenova
- 10Z. Parapunova
- 3B. Demirova
- 19Y. Stankova
- 2N. Boycheva
- 17S. Stefanova
- 12A. Nikolova
Croatia W
5-3-2- 18M. Cavar
- 9I. RudeliÄ
- 9J. Canjevac
- 13H. SpajiÄ
- 11K. Kurkutovic
- 20B. Zivkovic
- 2L. Orkic
- 3A. JelenÄiÄ
- 4L. Balog
- 6T. Vračević
- 1D. BaÄiÄ
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 06:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bulgaria W have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Croatia W have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Croatia W(away) | 0-4 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Gibraltar W(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kosovo W(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Kosovo W(home) | 1-3 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gibraltar W(away) | 5-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Iceland W(away) | 0-5 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Iceland W(home) | 0-4 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Bulgaria W(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Kosovo W(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Gibraltar W(home) | 9-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bulgaria W wins, 0 draws, 2 Croatia W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Croatia W 4-0 Bulgaria W | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Bulgaria W 0-1 Croatia W | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
Last archived meeting: Croatia W vs Bulgaria W on Jun 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bulgaria W score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia W score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria W | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Croatia W | 1.8 | 1.6 | 7 | 4/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bulgaria W sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League - Women (2 points from 4 matches) and Croatia W sit 4th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bulgaria WGroup 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 4 | Croatia WGroup 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 3 |
A question about Bulgaria W vs Croatia W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bulgaria W vs Croatia W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bulgaria W the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Croatia W.
- Where and when is Bulgaria W vs Croatia W played?
- Bulgaria W vs Croatia W is played on February 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA Nations League - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.