Bumamuru vs Muzinga: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Stade Urunani, Buganda
The Footlab AI model makes Bumamuru the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Muzinga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bumamuru wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bumamuru vs Muzinga?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Bumamuru (1,545) and Muzinga (1,458).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bumamuru vs Muzinga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bumamuru
4-3-3- 11A. Shabani Valentin
- 10A. Ndikumana
- 7T. Ngabirano
- 8T. Ndikumana
- 14M. Eldhino
- 15S. Ramadhani
- 2I. Hakizimana
- 30F. Ndikumana
- 17F. Ndagijimana
- 21A. Mama
- 1H. Nduwimana
Muzinga
Not enough data to predict the Muzinga lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bumamuru have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Muzinga have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Young Star(away) | 3-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 1-3 | Ligue A |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Panthere Noir(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 3-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Panthere Noir(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Bumamuru wins, 1 draw, 1 Muzinga win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Muzinga 2-2 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Bumamuru 2-0 Muzinga | Ligue A |
| May 19, 2021 | Bumamuru 1-0 Muzinga | Ligue A |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Muzinga 1-0 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bumamuru score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Muzinga score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bumamuru | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Muzinga | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bumamuru sit 11th in Ligue A (4 points from 5 matches) and Muzinga sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Muzinga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Bumamuru | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Bumamuru vs Muzinga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bumamuru vs Muzinga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bumamuru the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Muzinga.
- Where and when is Bumamuru vs Muzinga played?
- Bumamuru vs Muzinga is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Stade Urunani, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.