Bumamuru vs Muzinga: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Stade Urunani, Buganda
The Footlab model makes Bumamuru the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Muzinga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bumamuru vs Muzinga?
Bumamuru starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,545 vs 1,410).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bumamuru have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Muzinga have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Panthere Noir(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rukinzo(home) | 0-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Green Farmers FC(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| May 8, 2026 | Green Farmers FC(away) | 4-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kayanza United(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Garage Express(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Bumamuru win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Muzinga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Muzinga 2-2 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Bumamuru 2-0 Muzinga | Ligue A |
| May 19, 2021 | Bumamuru 1-0 Muzinga | Ligue A |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Muzinga 1-0 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bumamuru score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Muzinga score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bumamuru | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Muzinga | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bumamuru sit 14th in Ligue A (1 points from 2 matches) and Muzinga sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Muzinga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Bumamuru | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bumamuru vs Muzinga?
- The Footlab model makes Bumamuru the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Muzinga.
- Where and when is Bumamuru vs Muzinga played?
- Bumamuru vs Muzinga is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Stade Urunani, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.