Ngozi City vs Olympic Star: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Urukundo, Mwumba
The Footlab AI model makes Olympic Star the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ngozi City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Olympic Star wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,834 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ngozi City vs Olympic Star?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Ngozi City (1,438) and Olympic Star (1,535).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ngozi City vs Olympic Star
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ngozi City
Not enough data to predict the Ngozi City lineup.
Olympic Star
Not enough data to predict the Olympic Star lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ngozi City have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Olympic Star have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Royal Vision(home) | 0-5 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aigle Noir(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Kayanza United(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Inter Star(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Panthere Noir(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ngozi City wins, 2 draws, 4 Olympic Star wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Olympic Star 4-0 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Ngozi City 1-1 Olympic Star | Ligue A |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Ngozi City 0-1 Olympic Star | Ligue A |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Olympic Star 0-0 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Ngozi City 0-2 Olympic Star | Ligue A |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Olympic Star 2-0 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Olympic Star vs Ngozi City on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ngozi City score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Olympic Star score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ngozi City | 1.8 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Olympic Star | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ngozi City sit 8th in Ligue A (9 points from 6 matches) and Olympic Star sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olympic Star | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Ngozi City | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Ngozi City vs Olympic Star?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ngozi City vs Olympic Star?
- The Footlab AI model makes Olympic Star the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ngozi City.
- Where and when is Ngozi City vs Olympic Star played?
- Ngozi City vs Olympic Star is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Urukundo, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.