Royal Vision vs Le Messager Ngozi: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stade Urunani, Buganda
The Footlab AI model makes Royal Vision the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Le Messager Ngozi. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Royal Vision vs Le Messager Ngozi?
On Elo ratings, Royal Vision has 1,576 points and Le Messager Ngozi 1,501.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Royal Vision vs Le Messager Ngozi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Royal Vision
Not enough data to predict the Royal Vision lineup.
Le Messager Ngozi
4-3-3- 7A. Hakizimana
- 9A. Nibikora
- 16S. Saidi
- 15A. Eza
- 10I. Nizigiyimana
- 24A. Muderi
- 17C. Urasenga
- 3R. Mvuyekure
- 14O. Dushime
- 20J. Kashindi
- 26A. Hakizimana
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Royal Vision have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Le Messager Ngozi have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Bumamuru(away) | 2-3 | Ligue A |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rukinzo(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Inter Star(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aigle Noir(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Kayanza United(home) | 3-0 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 0-2 | Ligue A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Young Star(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(away) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 1-3 | Ligue A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Panthere Noir(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Royal Vision wins, 1 draw, 1 Le Messager Ngozi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi 0-1 Royal Vision | Ligue A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Royal Vision 3-1 Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Royal Vision 2-3 Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Le Messager Ngozi 1-1 Royal Vision | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Le Messager Ngozi vs Royal Vision on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Royal Vision score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Le Messager Ngozi score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal Vision | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Le Messager Ngozi | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Royal Vision sit 1st in Ligue A (24 points from 11 matches) and Le Messager Ngozi sit 7th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Le Messager Ngozi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
A question about Royal Vision vs Le Messager Ngozi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Royal Vision vs Le Messager Ngozi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Royal Vision the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Le Messager Ngozi.
- Where and when is Royal Vision vs Le Messager Ngozi played?
- Royal Vision vs Le Messager Ngozi is played on December 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stade Urunani, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.