Rukinzo vs Never Give Up Academy: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stade Intwari, Bujumbura
The Footlab model makes Rukinzo the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Never Give Up Academy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rukinzo vs Never Give Up Academy?
Rukinzo starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,618 vs 1,501).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rukinzo have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Never Give Up Academy have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Panthere Noir(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bumamuru(away) | 4-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ngozi City(home) | 4-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Inter Star(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Rukinzo score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Never Give Up Academy score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rukinzo | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Never Give Up Academy | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rukinzo sit 4th in Ligue A (4 points from 2 matches) and Never Give Up Academy sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rukinzo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Never Give Up Academy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rukinzo vs Never Give Up Academy?
- The Footlab model makes Rukinzo the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Never Give Up Academy.
- Where and when is Rukinzo vs Never Give Up Academy played?
- Rukinzo vs Never Give Up Academy is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stade Intwari, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.