Match

Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex

Burgess Hill TownMaldon & Tiptree

The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Burgess Hill Town (1,797) and Maldon & Tiptree (1,869).

Burgess Hill Town win33 %
Draw24 %
Maldon & Tiptree win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Maldon & Tiptree have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burgess Hill Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cheshunt(away)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Leatherhead(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Whyteleafe(home)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Brentwood Town(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Dover(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Maldon & Tiptree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leatherhead(away)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Dartford(home)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Aveley(home)1-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-6Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Walthamstow(away)2-3Non League Div One - Isthmian North

How many goals should we expect?

Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Burgess Hill Town1.61.728/1510/15
Maldon & Tiptree1.91.368/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Burgess Hill Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Maldon & Tiptree4202696
14Burgess Hill Town4121655

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree?
The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Burgess Hill Town.
Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree played?
Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Burgess Hill Town and Maldon & Tiptree

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