Aveley vs St Albans City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for St Albans City. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs St Albans City?
Aveley starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; St Albans City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Enfield Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aveley win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 St Albans City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | St Albans City 0-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Aveley 0-2 St Albans City | FA Trophy |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Aveley 1-1 St Albans City | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 25, 2025 | St Albans City 3-0 Aveley | National League - South |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Aveley 6-3 St Albans City | National League - South |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Aveley 2-1 St Albans City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: St Albans City vs Aveley on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; St Albans City score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| St Albans City | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aveley sit 6th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and St Albans City sit 13th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | St Albans City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs St Albans City?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for St Albans City.
- Where and when is Aveley vs St Albans City played?
- Aveley vs St Albans City is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026LeatherheadvsWingate & Finchley
- Oct 3, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsStanway Rovers
- Oct 3, 2026WhitehawkvsDulwich Hamlet
- Oct 3, 2026Brentwood TownvsCheshunt
- Oct 3, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Oct 3, 2026RamsgatevsCarshalton Athletic
- Oct 3, 2026Cray WanderersvsThree Bridges
- Oct 3, 2026Enfield TownvsChatham Town