Welling United vs Whyteleafe: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Whyteleafe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welling United vs Whyteleafe?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Welling United (1,769) and Whyteleafe (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Whyteleafe have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lewes(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Southall(away) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Whyteleafe score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Whyteleafe | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Whyteleafe sit 20th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 20 | Whyteleafe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Whyteleafe?
- The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Whyteleafe.
- Where and when is Welling United vs Whyteleafe played?
- Welling United vs Whyteleafe is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026LeatherheadvsWingate & Finchley
- Oct 3, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsStanway Rovers
- Oct 3, 2026WhitehawkvsDulwich Hamlet
- Oct 3, 2026AveleyvsSt Albans City
- Oct 3, 2026Brentwood TownvsCheshunt
- Oct 3, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Oct 3, 2026RamsgatevsCarshalton Athletic
- Oct 3, 2026Cray WanderersvsThree Bridges