Where and when is Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca II played?

Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca II is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, Burgos

Burgos Promesas

Salamanca II

The Footlab model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Salamanca II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca II?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Burgos Promesas (1,818) and Salamanca II (1,773).

Burgos Promesas win49 %

Draw27 %

Salamanca II win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos Promesas have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Salamanca II have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burgos Promesas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Salamanca UDS(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Coruxo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Salamanca II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2023	Real Ávila(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 16, 2023	Unami(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 8, 2023	Ponferradina II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2023	Arandina(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 25, 2023	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Burgos Promesas win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Salamanca II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 3, 2019	Salamanca II 0-0 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Salamanca II vs Burgos Promesas on Nov 3, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Burgos Promesas	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15
Salamanca II	1.3	0.7	7	5/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca II?: The Footlab model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Salamanca II.
Where and when is Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca II played?: Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca II is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.