Turégano vs Salamanca II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Salamanca II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Turégano vs Salamanca II?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Turégano (1,738) and Salamanca II (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Turégano have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Salamanca II have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Celta Vigo(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Santurtzi(home) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Velarde(away) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Unami(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Ponferradina II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Turégano score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 3; Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turégano | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1/3 | 2/3 |
| Salamanca II | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Turégano vs Salamanca II?
- The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Salamanca II.
- Where and when is Turégano vs Salamanca II played?
- Turégano vs Salamanca II is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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