Match

Turégano vs Salamanca II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

TuréganoSalamanca II

The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Salamanca II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Turégano vs Salamanca II?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Turégano (1,738) and Salamanca II (1,773).

Turégano win44 %
Draw28 %
Salamanca II win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Turégano have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Salamanca II have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Turégano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2023Celta Vigo(home)0-4Copa del Rey
Oct 12, 2023Santurtzi(home)3-1Copa del Rey
Oct 19, 2022Velarde(away)0-1Copa del Rey
Salamanca II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2023Real Ávila(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 16, 2023Unami(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 8, 2023Ponferradina II(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2023Arandina(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 25, 2023Atlético Astorga(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

How many goals should we expect?

Turégano score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 3; Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Turégano1.02.001/32/3
Salamanca II1.30.775/157/15

Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Turégano vs Salamanca II?
The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Salamanca II.
Where and when is Turégano vs Salamanca II played?
Turégano vs Salamanca II is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Turégano and Salamanca II

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