Villaralbo vs Bembibre: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Los Barreros, Villaralbo
The Footlab AI model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villaralbo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villaralbo vs Bembibre?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Villaralbo (1,731) and Bembibre (1,709).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villaralbo vs Bembibre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villaralbo
Not enough data to predict the Villaralbo lineup.
Bembibre
Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villaralbo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bembibre have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Turégano(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salamanca II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Villaralbo wins, 1 draw, 3 Bembibre wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Bembibre 1-0 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Villaralbo 0-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2025 | Villaralbo 4-0 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Bembibre 1-1 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Bembibre 0-3 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Villaralbo 0-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Villaralbo on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villaralbo score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bembibre score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villaralbo | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Bembibre | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villaralbo sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (6 points from 6 matches) and Bembibre sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bembibre | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Villaralbo vs Bembibre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villaralbo vs Bembibre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Bembibre.
- Where and when is Villaralbo vs Bembibre played?
- Villaralbo vs Bembibre is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Los Barreros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026ArandinavsAtlético Mansillés
- Oct 25, 2026Burgos PromesasvsSalamanca II
- Oct 25, 2026Cultural Leonesa IIvsCalasanz de Soria
- Oct 25, 2026La Virgen del CaminovsMirandés II
- Oct 25, 2026UD Santa MartavsAlmazán
- Oct 25, 2026Colegios DiocesanosvsCristo Atlético
- Oct 25, 2026Palencia CFvsTurégano
- Oct 25, 2026Unionistas IIvsGuijuelo