Burkina Faso vs Madagascar: result 1-2 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on August 16, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Amaan Stadium, Zanzibar City
Full time
What was the result of Burkina Faso vs Madagascar?
Madagascar won 1-2 on August 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′Fenohasina Gilles RazafimaroMadagascar
- 25′525669Burkina Faso
- 58′525791Madagascar (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burkina Faso have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Madagascar have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2025 | Mauritania(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Central African Republic(home) | 4-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Zimbabwe(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Tunisia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2025 | Central African Republic(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Mauritania(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Comoros(home) | 0-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Angola(away) | 1-4 | COSAFA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Burkina Faso win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Madagascar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2020 | Madagascar 1-2 Burkina Faso | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: Madagascar vs Burkina Faso on Oct 12, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Burkina Faso score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Madagascar score 1.0 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burkina Faso | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Madagascar | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burkina Faso sit 4th in African Nations Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Madagascar sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Madagascar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Burkina Faso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy