South Africa vs Uganda: result 3-3 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on August 18, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Mandela National Stadium, Kampala
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What was the result of South Africa vs Uganda?
South Africa and Uganda drew 3-3 on August 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 31′J. SsemugabiUganda
- 52′R. MphahleleSouth Africa
- 58′T. KutumelaSouth Africa
- 83′N. NdlondloSouth Africa
- 88′A. OkelloUganda (pen.)
- 90′R. TorachUganda (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Africa have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Uganda have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2025 | Niger(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Guinea(home) | 2-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Algeria(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Angola(away) | 0-3 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Comoros(home) | 3-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2025 | Niger(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Guinea(away) | 3-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Algeria(home) | 0-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Senegal(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Senegal(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 South Africa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Uganda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | Uganda 0-2 South Africa | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 6, 2024 | South Africa 2-2 Uganda | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 10, 2021 | South Africa 3-2 Uganda | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: Uganda vs South Africa on Nov 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
South Africa score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Uganda | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
South Africa sit 3rd in African Nations Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Uganda sit 1st (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | South Africa | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy