Zambia vs Kenya: result 0-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on August 17, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
Full time
What was the result of Zambia vs Kenya?
Kenya won 0-1 on August 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 75′R. OgamKenya
Official lineup for Zambia vs Kenya
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Zambia
- 7Kelvin Mubanga Kampamba
- 10Prince Mumba
- 20K. Mwanza
- 6O. Tembo
- 22E. Kayombo
- 4Happy Nsiku
- 14K. Chongo
- 21Dominic Chanda
- 23M. Banda
- 26John Chishimba
- 18Charles Kalumba
Kenya
- 15R. Ogam
- 8A. Onyango
- 10A. Otieno
- 17B. Omondi
- 4M. Kibwage
- 13L. Bandi
- 19D. Sakwa
- 21M. Nabwire
- 3Aboud Omar Khamis
- 25S. Owino
- 1F. Shikalo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Kenya have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 1-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Angola(home) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Congo DR(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Botswana(away) | 3-3 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Comoros(home) | 0-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2025 | Morocco(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Angola(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Congo DR(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Chad(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Chad(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Zambia wins, 0 draws, 2 Kenya wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2024 | Zambia 0-2 Kenya | COSAFA Cup |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Kenya 2-1 Zambia | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kenya score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Kenya | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zambia sit 5th in African Nations Championship (0 points from 4 matches) and Kenya sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenya | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Zambia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
A question about Zambia vs Kenya?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy