Burkina Faso vs Malawi: result 3-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on November 12, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 4 Août, Ouagadougou
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What was the result of Burkina Faso vs Malawi?
Burkina Faso won 3-1 on November 12, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 2′L. TraoréBurkina Faso
- 26′L. TraoréBurkina Faso
- 80′G. PhiriMalawi (pen.)
- 87′B. DaboBurkina Faso (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burkina Faso have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Malawi have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2020 | Madagascar(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Congo DR(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2019 | South Sudan(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2019 | Uganda(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Ghana(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Zimbabwe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Zambia(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Uganda(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2019 | South Sudan(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Lesotho(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Burkina Faso score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Malawi score 0.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burkina Faso | 1.0 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Malawi | 0.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burkina Faso sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (10 points from 6 matches) and Malawi sit 3rd (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Malawi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy