Burnley vs Millwall: result 5-1 and analysis
FA CupRound of 64Kick-off on January 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
Full time
What was the result of Burnley vs Millwall?
Burnley won 5-1 on January 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 11′A. BarnesBurnley
- 35′L. TchaounaBurnley
- 44′J. AnthonyBurnley
- 65′A. BarnesBurnley
- 89′J. BanelBurnley
- 90′J. CoburnMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Millwall have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Newcastle(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Everton(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Bristol City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Ipswich(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Blackburn(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Burnley win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Burnley 3-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Millwall 1-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Millwall 1-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Burnley 2-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2020 | Millwall 0-2 Burnley | League Cup |
| Feb 8, 2014 | Burnley 3-1 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Millwall | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy