Burnley W vs Durham W: prediction and stats
Women's ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Burnley W the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Durham W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burnley W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burnley W vs Durham W?
Burnley W starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,795).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burnley W vs Durham W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burnley W
4-3-3- 9C. Walker
- 19Charlie Chadwick
- 21C. Wellings
- 8J. Finn
- 10C. Harrison-Murray
- 6T. Toland
- 3E. Siddall
- 22A. Paul
- 20Maddi Wilde
- 23N. Hartley
- 25J. Burns
Durham W
4-3-3- 11J. Pennock
- 19Bayley Hutchison
- 17O. Fergusson
- 7B. Hepple
- 23R. Lowe
- 24E. Morran
- 5S. Wilson
- 3L. Briggs
- 4M. McComasky
- 2G. Ayre
- 35C. Sheppard
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley W have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Durham W have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nottingham Forest W(away) | 0-2 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bristol City W(home) | 0-0 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Wolverhampton W(away) | 0-3 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sunderland W(home) | 1-2 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Watford W(away) | 0-0 | Women's Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Newcastle United W(home) | 0-3 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Manchester United W(home) | 1-5 | WSL Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sheffield United W(away) | 1-4 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nottingham Forest W(home) | 1-2 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Leicester City FC W(away) | 2-4 | Women's Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley W score 4.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Durham W score 1.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley W | 4.5 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 11/15 |
| Durham W | 1.2 | 2.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley W sit 11th in Women's Championship (2 points from 5 matches) and Durham W sit 12th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Burnley W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
| 12 | Durham W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
A question about Burnley W vs Durham W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burnley W vs Durham W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burnley W the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Durham W.
- Where and when is Burnley W vs Durham W played?
- Burnley W vs Durham W is played on January 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Women's Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.