Kayserispor vs Ümraniyespor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu, Kayseri
The Footlab model makes Kayserispor the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Ümraniyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kayserispor vs Ümraniyespor?
Kayserispor starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kayserispor have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ümraniyespor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kayserispor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ümraniyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | Kayserispor 3-1 Ümraniyespor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Ümraniyespor 2-2 Kayserispor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kayserispor vs Ümraniyespor on Apr 10, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Kayserispor score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ümraniyespor score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor | 1.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ümraniyespor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kayserispor sit 1st in 1. Lig (9 points from 3 matches) and Ümraniyespor sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Ümraniyespor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kayserispor vs Ümraniyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Kayserispor the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Ümraniyespor.
- Where and when is Kayserispor vs Ümraniyespor played?
- Kayserispor vs Ümraniyespor is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.